[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  19 JULY, 2006

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 19 JULY, 2006
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 200, 07/19/06
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=080        SSN=024      BKI=1200 0001  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0011  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=003,003,003/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,002   27DAY-KP=1221 1211 1000 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 18 JUL 06 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 19 JUL 06 are: 1- 1o 0o 0o   0+ 0o 1- 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 19 JUL 06 are:   3   4   0   0   2   0   3   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 19 JUL is: 6.9E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 900 (S04W25)
       produced two B-class flares during the past 24 hours.  The largest
       of these was a B6 at 19/1441Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.  There is a chance for a C-class flare from region 900.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain quiet.

            Event probabilities 20 jul-22 jul

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 20 jul-22 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 19/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0900 S04W25   141  0090 Dso  09   14 Beta
Regions Due to Return 20 Jul to 22 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 19 JULY, 2006
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **