[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 April
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Apr 23 22:31:40 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
22 APRIL, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 APRIL, 2007
---------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 112, 04/22/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0 90-AVG=074 SSN=000 BKI=2233 3333 BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2222 2333 PAI=010
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=011,012 27DAY-KP=1121 2433 1333 2232
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 APR 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 22 APR 07 are: 2+ 2o 2- 2+ 2- 3- 3o 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 APR 07 are: 9 7 6 9 6 12 15 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 APR is: 1.5E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind speed
increased to about 450 km/s due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (23 - 25
april). Isolated active periods are possible at high latitudes on
23 april due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
Event probabilities 23 apr-25 apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 apr-25 apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/20
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/20/20
Minor storm 15/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 22/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 23 Apr to 25 Apr
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 APRIL, 2007
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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