[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Apr 23 22:31:40 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 22 APRIL, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 APRIL, 2007
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 112, 04/22/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=2233 3333  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2222 2333  PAI=010
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,012   27DAY-KP=1121 2433 1333 2232
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 APR 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 22 APR 07 are: 2+ 2o 2- 2+   2- 3- 3o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 APR 07 are:   9   7   6   9   6  12  15  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 APR is: 1.5E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The solar wind speed
       increased to about 450 km/s due to a recurrent coronal hole high
       speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (23 - 25
       april).  Isolated active periods are possible at high latitudes on
       23 april due to the coronal hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 23 apr-25 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 apr-25 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/20
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 22/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 23 Apr to 25 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 APRIL, 2007
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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