[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Apr 25 22:31:45 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 24 APRIL, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 APRIL, 2007
---------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 114, 04/24/07
10.7 FLUX=073.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=2110 2222  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A2.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2110 1222  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C3.1   @ 2256UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.1   @ 0012UT   XRAY-AVG= A8.1
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,002   27DAY-KP=3321 0101 1100 1001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 APR 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 24 APR 07 are: 2- 1- 1- 0+   1- 2- 2- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 APR 07 are:   6   3   3   2   3   6   6   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 APR is: 1.3E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The background solar
       x-ray flux increased from below a-class to approximately A6 during
       the past 24 hours and a bright emerging flux region has rotated onto
       the east limb.  However, no sunspots are visible in this region yet.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.  There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from the east
       limb.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  Solar wind speed remains slightly
       elevated at approximately 440 km/s.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next three days (25 - 27 april).

            Event probabilities 25 apr-27 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 apr-27 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 24/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0951 S12W96   134                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 25 Apr to 27 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 APRIL, 2007
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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