[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 April

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 29 APRIL, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 APRIL, 2007
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 119, 04/29/07
10.7 FLUX=085.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=018      BKI=5455 2123  BAI=025
BGND-XRAY=A4.5     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=5554 2223  PAI=023
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.8   @ 2030UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.5   @ 0500UT   XRAY-AVG= A6.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/013,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=024,011   27DAY-KP=4553 2233 2422 1332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 APR 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 APR 07 are: 5- 5- 5- 4o   2o 2- 2+ 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 APR 07 are:  39  39  39  27   7   6   9  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 APR is: 5.0E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Region 953 (S10E23) has
       shown a slight decrease in trailing spots bordering the main spot.
       Also, the beginnings of a possible separation of penumbral area on
       the eastern side of the main spot was noted.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low with a chance for an M-flare from region 953.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions.
       Increased activity was due to the continued influence of a recurrent
       coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods
       possible on 30 april. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to
       unsettled levels by 01 and 02 may.

            Event probabilities 30 apr-02 may

                             Class M    20/20/20
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 30 apr-02 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/20
                        Minor storm           25/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    15/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 29/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0953 S10E23   308  0500 Dki  05   08 Beta-Gamma-Delta
Regions Due to Return 30 Apr to 02 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0952 S08    202


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 APRIL, 2007
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **