[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 04 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                04 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 04 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 338, 12/04/07
10.7 FLUX=074.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=013      BKI=0001 1101  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1101  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=001,003   27DAY-KP=0000 0001 0210 0011
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 03 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 04 DEC 07 are: 0o 0o 0o 0o   1o 1- 0+ 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 04 DEC 07 are:   0   0   0   0   4   3   2   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 04 DEC is: 8.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  A slow moving cme
       was observed on the west limb at approximately 04/0430Z.  This cme
       appears to have originated on the backside of the sun and is not
       expected to be geoeffective.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low though there is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare
       from region 977 (S05E26).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the forecast period, 05 - 07 december.

            Event probabilities 05 dec-07 dec

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 05 dec-07 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 04/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0977 S05E26   290  0030 Dso  04   03 Beta
0976 S09W16   333                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 05 Dec to 07 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 04 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **