[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 05 December

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Dec 6 22:31:36 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                05 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 05 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 339, 12/05/07
10.7 FLUX=070.9  90-AVG=068        SSN=013      BKI=2110 1100  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 1101  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A9.2   @ 2339UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1452UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,002   27DAY-KP=0210 0011 1000 1101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 04 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 05 DEC 07 are: 1+ 0o 0+ 0o   1o 1o 0+ 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 05 DEC 07 are:   5   0   2   0   4   4   2   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 05 DEC is: 1.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.5,    70.9,    70.6 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 977
       (S06E13) was the only spotted region on the solar disk.  This region
       declined slightly in area, however, it remains a dso type spot
       group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain at quiet levels for the forecast period (06 - 08
       december).

            Event probabilities 06 dec-08 dec

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 06 dec-08 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 05/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0977 S06E13   290  0020 Dso  03   03 Beta
0976 S09W29   333                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 06 Dec to 08 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 05 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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