[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 December

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Dec 8 22:31:36 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                07 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 341, 12/07/07
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=069        SSN=024      BKI=0100 0001  BAI=000
BGND-XRAY=A1.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0100 0000  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B2.0   @ 1449UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.1   @ 0720UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,001   27DAY-KP=1012 1100 0010 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 DEC 07 are: 0+ 1- 0o 0o   0o 0o 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 DEC 07 are:   2   3   0   0   0   0   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 DEC is: 2.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low, however, there is the chance for an isolated C-class flare
       from either region 977 (S05W16) or 978 (S09E54).

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet levels 08 - 09 december.  On 10 december the
       geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled due to a recurrent
       coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
       position.

            Event probabilities 08 dec-10 dec

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 dec-10 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/15
                        Minor storm           01/01/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/25
                        Minor storm           10/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S09E54   223  0090 Dao  08   14 Beta
0976 S09W55   333                    Plage
0977 S05W16   293                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 Dec to 10 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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