[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 December
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Dec 8 22:31:36 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
07 DECEMBER, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 DECEMBER, 2007
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 341, 12/07/07
10.7 FLUX=071.2 90-AVG=069 SSN=024 BKI=0100 0001 BAI=000
BGND-XRAY=A1.7 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=0100 0000 PAI=001
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B2.0 @ 1449UT XRAY-MIN= A2.1 @ 0720UT XRAY-AVG= A4.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,008
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=003,001 27DAY-KP=1012 1100 0010 0001
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 DEC 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 07 DEC 07 are: 0+ 1- 0o 0o 0o 0o 0o 0+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 DEC 07 are: 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 2
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 DEC is: 2.3E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 71.0, 71.2, 71.3 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
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Solar activity has been very low.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to remain
very low, however, there is the chance for an isolated C-class flare
from either region 977 (S05W16) or 978 (S09E54).
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels 08 - 09 december. On 10 december the
geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled due to a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
position.
Event probabilities 08 dec-10 dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 dec-10 dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor storm 10/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 07/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0978 S09E54 223 0090 Dao 08 14 Beta
0976 S09W55 333 Plage
0977 S05W16 293 Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 Dec to 10 Dec
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 DECEMBER, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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