[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 09 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                09 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 09 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 343, 12/09/07
10.7 FLUX=069.9  90-AVG=069        SSN=042      BKI=1100 1110  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A5.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0111  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C1.0   @ 1604UT    XRAY-MIN= A5.7   @ 0614UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,008/005,008,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,008   27DAY-KP=1000 0112 3312 2123
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 08 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 09 DEC 07 are: 0+ 0+ 0o 0o   0o 1o 1+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 09 DEC 07 are:   2   2   0   0   0   4   5   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 09 DEC is: 2.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.9,    69.9,    70.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 978 (S09E26)
       produced a B9.4 flare during this perioed.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to range
       from very low to low.   C-class activity is likely from region 978.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field activity
       level will increase from quiet to unsettled early on day 2 as a
       recurrent coronal hole becomes geoeffective.  There is a slight
       chance of isolated active periods at high latitudes.

            Event probabilities 10 dec-12 dec

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 10 dec-12 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/20
                        Minor storm           05/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/25/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 09/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S09E26   225  0220 Dkc  10   20 Beta
0979 N08W78   329  0080 Hax  04   02 Alpha
0976 S09W81   333                    Plage
0977 S05W42   330                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 10 Dec to 12 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 09 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **