[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                12 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 346, 12/12/07
10.7 FLUX=094.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=039      BKI=2334 2122  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A7.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2333 1002  PAI=007
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B5.2   @ 2231UT    XRAY-MIN= A7.9   @ 1006UT   XRAY-AVG= B1.6
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:095,095,095;SESC:095,095,095 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,006   27DAY-KP=1100 1222 1012 2113
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 DEC 07 are: 2+ 3- 3o 3-   1- 0o 0o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 DEC 07 are:   9  12  15  12   3   0   0   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 DEC is: 2.8E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  Region 978 (S06W12)
       has produced several low level B-class flares.  The region is mostly
       unchanged and remains a magnetic beta-gamma configuration.  A
       northern plage region with reverse polarity characteristics,
       according to gong magnetograms, is the only other solar feature of
       note.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  Region 978 remains capable of producing an isolated
       C-class event.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
       period from 12/0900-1200Z at mid-latitudes.  Ace solar wind
       measurements indicate the continued influence of the recurrent
       coronal hole high-speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominately quiet for 13-15 december.

            Event probabilities 13 dec-15 dec

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 dec-15 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S06W12   223  0200 Dai  10   29 Beta-Gamma
0977 S05W81   292                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 13 Dec to 15 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **