[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                13 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 347, 12/13/07
10.7 FLUX=094.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=039      BKI=1221 2211  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=B1.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1211 1010  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C5.0   @ 1002UT    XRAY-MIN= A8.7   @ 2132UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.6
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:095,095,095;SESC:095,095,095 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,005   27DAY-KP=1012 2113 3220 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 13 DEC 07 are: 1o 2+ 1o 1-   1+ 0+ 1o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 13 DEC 07 are:   4   9   4   3   5   2   4   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 DEC is: 6.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 978 (S08W25) produced a
       C4.5/1f event at 13/1003Z.  This region has exhibited growth in
       white light area coverage and developed a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
       configuration.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  Region 978 remains capable of producing C-class flares
       with a slight chance for an isolated low level M-class event.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for 14-15 december.  Quiet to unsettled
       conditions are expected for 16 december.

            Event probabilities 14 dec-16 dec

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 dec-16 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 13/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S08W25   224  0340 Dac  10   29 Beta-Gamma-Delta
Regions Due to Return 14 Dec to 16 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **