[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                14 DECEMBER, 2007

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 348, 12/14/07
10.7 FLUX=092.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=035      BKI=1113 1111  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A8.4     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0102 0010  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C1.3   @ 0831UT    XRAY-MIN= A7.9   @ 1202UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.1
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:090,090,085;SESC:090,090,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,020/005,010,030
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,002   27DAY-KP=3220 1111 1200 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 DEC 07 are: 0+ 1o 0o 2-   0o 0+ 1o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 DEC 07 are:   2   4   0   6   0   2   4   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 DEC is: 7.9E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at low levels.  Region 978 (S09W40)
       produced several low-level C-class x-ray flares during the past
       twenty-four hours.  The region has decayed in white light area, and
       is now in a beta magnetic configuration.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low to low levels.  Region 978 has the potential of further
       C-class activity, and a slight chance of an isolated low-level
       M-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.  The greater than 2
       mev flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels for the forecast
       period (15 to 17 december).  On 15 december expect conditions to
       continue at quiet levels.  16 December should see a slight increase
       in activity to include unsettled conditions.  A recurrent coronal
       hole high speed stream is expected to impact the geomagnetic field
       on 17 december.  Active to minor storm periods at middle latitudes,
       and major storm conditions at high latitudes, are expected with this
       coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 15 dec-17 dec

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 dec-17 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/30
                        Minor storm           05/10/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/20/40
                        Minor storm           05/15/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/15


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S09W40   224  0290 Dkc  10   25 Beta
Regions Due to Return 15 Dec to 17 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **