[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 15 December

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                15 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 15 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 349, 12/15/07
10.7 FLUX=089.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=039      BKI=0011 1111  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A7.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0001  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B3.4   @ 0212UT    XRAY-MIN= A9.3   @ 0009UT   XRAY-AVG= A5.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,080;SESC:085,085,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,020,010/010,025,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,003   27DAY-KP=1200 0001 0000 0123
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 14 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 15 DEC 07 are: 0+ 0+ 0o 0o   0o 0o 0+ 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 15 DEC 07 are:   2   2   0   0   0   0   2   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 15 DEC is: 6.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 978 (S10W52)
       produced several low B-class flares.  This region is now a magnetic
       beta configuration.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  Region 978 could produce an isolated low level C-class
       flare.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev proton flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  a recurrent coronal hole is
       expected to become geoeffective 16-18 december.  The geomagnetic
       field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for 16 december.  Active
       conditions are expected for 17 december with a chance for isolated
       minor storm periods at mid latitudes and isolated major storming at
       high latitudes.  Unsettled levels with isolated active periods are
       expected for 18 december.

            Event probabilities 16 dec-18 dec

                             Class M    05/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 16 dec-18 dec

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/30/20
                        Minor storm           10/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/35/25
                        Minor storm           15/25/20
                        Major-severe storm    05/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 15/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0978 S10W52   223  0340 Dac  10   29 Beta
Regions Due to Return 16 Dec to 18 Dec
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 15 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **