[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 December
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Dec 31 22:31:36 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
30 DECEMBER, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 364, 12/30/07
10.7 FLUX=075.0 90-AVG=071 SSN=000 BKI=1201 1100 BAI=002
BGND-XRAY= FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1100 0100 PAI=002
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,080;SESC:075,075,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=001,002 27DAY-KP=0000 1000 0000 1101
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 DEC 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 30 DEC 07 are: 1o 1o 0o 0+ 0+ 1+ 0o 0+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 DEC 07 are: 4 4 0 2 2 5 0 2
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 DEC is: 7.6E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was low due to a C1.7 flare observed at
30/2005Z. The most likely origin of the flare was a brightening on
the east limb near where old region 978 (S08, l=223) is expected to
return.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to remain
very low to low. An increasing chance of C-class activity is
expected through the forecast period (31 dec 07 - 2 jan 08).
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electrons at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet.
Event probabilities 31 dec-02 jan
Class M 01/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 31 dec-02 jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/00
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 30/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 31 Dec to 02 Jan
Nmbr Lat Lo
0978 S10 223
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 DECEMBER, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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