[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 December

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Dec 31 22:31:36 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                30 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 364, 12/30/07
10.7 FLUX=075.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=000      BKI=1201 1100  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=         FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0100  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,080;SESC:075,075,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=001,002   27DAY-KP=0000 1000 0000 1101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 DEC 07 are: 1o 1o 0o 0+   0+ 1+ 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 DEC 07 are:   4   4   0   2   2   5   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 DEC is: 7.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low due to a C1.7 flare observed at
       30/2005Z.  The most likely origin of the flare was a brightening on
       the east limb near where old region 978 (S08, l=223) is expected to
       return.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low to low.  An increasing chance of C-class activity is
       expected through the forecast period (31 dec 07 - 2 jan 08).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electrons at
       geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain quiet.

            Event probabilities 31 dec-02 jan

                             Class M    01/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 31 dec-02 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/00


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 30/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 31 Dec to 02 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0978 S10    223


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 DECEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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