[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jul 1 22:31:44 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  30 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 181, 06/30/07
10.7 FLUX=074.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=036      BKI=2221 1111  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3211 1111  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A9.9   @ 0134UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1958UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,008   27DAY-KP=2211 1343 3311 2322
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 JUN 07 are: 2- 1+ 2- 1o   3- 2+ 5o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 JUN 07 are:   6   5   6   4  12   9  48  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 JUN is: 1.3E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 961 (S12E09) has
       developed in size and complexity, but has not produced any
       significant activity.  Region 962 (S10E37) has decayed into a simple
       alpha-class spot group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.  There is a slight chance of an isolated C-class flare from
       region 961.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed has
       been steadily decreasing, but remains slightly elevated due to the
       coronal hole high speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (01 - 03
       july).

            Event probabilities 01 jul-03 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 jul-03 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 30/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S12E09   221  0210 Dac  05   14 Beta
0962 S10E37   193  0030 Axx  03   02 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 01 Jul to 03 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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