[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 03 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jul 4 22:31:40 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  03 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 03 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 184, 07/03/07
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=1011 1324  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1111 2324  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 1910UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1916UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,003   27DAY-KP=0000 1101 1000 1121
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 02 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 03 JUL 07 are: 1+ 1- 1o 1+   2o 3- 2o 4+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 03 JUL 07 are:   5   3   4   5   7  12   7  32 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 03 JUL is: 3.9E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed at
       ace has continually increased from around 300 km/s to 430 km/s as a
       result of a sector boundary crossing around 03/0800 ut.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 04 july.  Predominately quiet
       conditions are expected for 05-06 july.

            Event probabilities 04 jul-06 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 jul-06 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 03/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S09W31   221  0090 Hsx  03   02 Alpha
0962 S08E02   189                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 04 Jul to 06 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 03 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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