[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 04 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  04 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 04 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 185, 07/04/07
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=013      BKI=3434 3221  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4434 3232  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A9.8   @ 1333UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1731UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,008   27DAY-KP=1000 1121 3311 2222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 03 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 04 JUL 07 are: 4- 4o 3- 4+   3- 2o 3- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 04 JUL 07 are:  22  27  12  32  12   7  12   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 04 JUL is: 1.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Solar wind at ace started
       the period at 03/2100 utc with 438 km/s, increased to a peak of 652
       km/s at 04/0931 utc, and has steadily declined to around 480 km/s at
       forecast issue time.  The imf bz also experienced minor fluctuations
       throughout the period from +/- 7 nt.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for 05 july.  Quiet conditions are
       expected for 06-07 july.

            Event probabilities 05 jul-07 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 05 jul-07 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 04/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S09W44   220  0100 Hsx  03   03 Alpha
0962 S08W11   189                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 05 Jul to 07 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 04 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **