[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  07 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 188, 07/07/07
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=074        SSN=023      BKI=2211 1222  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2111 1222  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C2.1   @ 1430UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.5   @ 0334UT   XRAY-AVG= B1.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,002   27DAY-KP=3232 1121 1000 0111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 JUL 07 are: 2+ 1+ 1- 1-   1o 2- 2+ 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 JUL 07 are:   9   5   3   3   4   6   9   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 JUL is: 3.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low. New region 963 (S09E83) rotated
       into view today and produced several B-class flares as well as one
       C-class flare at 1430Z. Region 961 (S08W86) was quiet and stable and
       is rotating off the disk.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low for the next three days (08-10 july).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
       hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next two days (08-09 july). An increase
       to unsettled levels is expected sometime on the third day (10 july)
       in response to a recurrent coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 08 jul-10 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 jul-10 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S08W86   223  0060 Hsx  03   02 Alpha
0963 S09E83   054  0050 Axx  05   01 Alpha
0962 S05W51   188                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 Jul to 10 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **