[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  08 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 189, 07/08/07
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=074        SSN=016      BKI=1120 1112  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A6.9     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1211 1111  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C2.0   @ 1658UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.0   @ 0331UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.6
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,015/005,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,004   27DAY-KP=1000 0111 1110 1112
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 JUL 07 are: 1+ 2o 1o 1o   1- 1o 1- 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 JUL 07 are:   5   7   4   4   3   4   3   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 JUL is: 3.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 963 (S07E66) has
       produced three C-class flares and numerous B-class flares.  The
       region is currently a moderate size d-type sunspot group with a
       simple beta magnetic configuration.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from region
       963.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain quiet from day one (9 july) through most of day
       two (10 july).  Late on day two, and continuing through day three
       (11 july), geomagnetic activity is expected to become unsettled with
       possible active periods in response to a recurrent coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 09 jul-11 jul

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 jul-11 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/20/40
                        Minor storm           05/10/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/25/45
                        Minor storm           05/15/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S07E66   058  0150 Dao  04   06 Beta
0962 S05W64   188                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 09 Jul to 11 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 2057 2101 2105              B1.3     410                           


**  End of Daily Report  **