[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  11 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 192, 07/11/07
10.7 FLUX=079.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=028      BKI=5554 3322  BAI=026
BGND-XRAY=A2.4     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=5554 2222  PAI=023
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B8.7   @ 1205UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.4   @ 2359UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,085,085;SESC:080,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/015,008,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=020,008   27DAY-KP=3434 2443 2321 2212
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 JUL 07 are: 5- 5- 5- 4+   2+ 2o 2o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 JUL 07 are:  39  39  39  32   9   7   7   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 JUL is: 1.1E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 963 (S06E28) produced a
       C1 flare at 10/2246Z, as well as several B-class flares during the
       past 24 hours.  This region has decayed in both area and complexity
       and is now classified as a beta magnetic spot group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from region
       963.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm conditions due
       to the coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind speed at ace
       reached a peak of 602 km/s at 11/0726Z and again at 11/1724Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to
       be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (12-14 june).  There
       is a slight chance for isolated active periods early on day one (12
       june) due to the coronal hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 12 jul-14 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 jul-14 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/10/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/15/15
                        Minor storm           25/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S06E28   056  0370 Ekc  13   18 Beta
Regions Due to Return 12 Jul to 14 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0535 0535 0535                       110                           


**  End of Daily Report  **