[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  12 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 193, 07/12/07
10.7 FLUX=077.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=025      BKI=2331 1112  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2330 1222  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A5.4   @ 1809UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 2334UT   XRAY-AVG= A2.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,007/008,010,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,007   27DAY-KP=2321 2212 3211 3221
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 JUL 07 are: 2+ 3- 3o 0+   1o 2- 2+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 JUL 07 are:   9  12  15   2   4   6   9   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 JUL is: 3.0E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
       occurred during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from region
       963 (S05E15).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed at
       ace has steadily declined to around 485 km/s at forecast issue time.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (13-15
       july).  Isolated active periods are possible on 14-15 july due to a
       recurrent coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 13 jul-15 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 jul-15 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/25/25
                        Minor storm           10/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S05E15   056  0430 Ekc  13   15 Beta
0964 N05W14   000                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 13 Jul to 15 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **