[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  13 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 194, 07/13/07
10.7 FLUX=078.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=038      BKI=2111 1113  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0113  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A5.9   @ 2029UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 2310UT   XRAY-AVG= A2.5
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,007,005/015,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,006   27DAY-KP=3211 3221 1111 2211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 13 JUL 07 are: 1+ 1- 0o 0o   0+ 1o 1- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 13 JUL 07 are:   5   3   0   0   2   4   3  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 JUL is: 9.6E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
       occurred during the past 24 hours.  New region 964 (N04W30) is
       classified as a beta spot group.  Region 963 (S06E01) continues to 
       slowly decay.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from region
       963 or 964.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active
       periods on 14-15 july due to a recurrent coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 14 jul-16 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 jul-16 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/15
                        Minor storm           20/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 13/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S06E01   056  0310 Ekc  12   11 Beta
0964 N04W30   087  0040 Cao  05   07 Beta
Regions Due to Return 14 Jul to 16 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **