[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  14 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 195, 07/14/07
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=041      BKI=2123 3443  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2124 4463  PAI=023
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.1   @ 2218UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 0448UT   XRAY-AVG= A3.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=006,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,005   27DAY-KP=1111 2211 1112 1222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 JUL 07 are: 2o 1o 2o 4-   4- 5- 6- 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 JUL 07 are:   7   4   7  22  22  39  67  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 JUL is: 4.0E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
       occurred during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions due to a
       recurrent coronal hole.  Solar wind speed at ace reached a peak of
       561 km/s at 14/2121Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 15 july.  Quiet conditions are
       expected on 16-17 july.

            Event probabilities 15 jul-17 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 jul-17 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S06W14   058  0200 Eac  13   14 Beta
0964 N03W40   084  0050 Dso  06   07 Beta
Regions Due to Return 15 Jul to 17 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **