[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 15 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  15 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 15 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 196, 07/15/07
10.7 FLUX=075.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=041      BKI=3432 2212  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A1.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4432 2212  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B3.1   @ 1139UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 2201UT   XRAY-AVG= A3.6
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,007   27DAY-KP=1112 1222 2322 1211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 14 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 15 JUL 07 are: 4+ 4o 3- 2-   2- 2- 1+ 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 15 JUL 07 are:  32  27  12   6   6   6   5   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 15 JUL is: 1.9E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant activity
       has been observed during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active.  Solar wind speed
       decreased throughout the day to approximately 480 km/s at 15/2100Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (16 - 18
       july).

            Event probabilities 16 jul-18 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 16 jul-18 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 15/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S06W27   057  0270 Eai  13   16 Beta
0964 N02W54   084  0050 Cso  07   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 16 Jul to 18 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 15 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **