[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 16 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  16 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 16 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 197, 07/16/07
10.7 FLUX=073.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=030      BKI=2222 1121  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1221 2112  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B3.4   @ 0101UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 2359UT   XRAY-AVG= A2.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,004   27DAY-KP=2322 1211 1101 1211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 15 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 16 JUL 07 are: 1+ 2- 2- 1+   2- 1+ 1+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 16 JUL 07 are:   5   6   6   5   6   5   5   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 16 JUL is: 8.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant activity
       was observed during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (17 - 19
       july).

            Event probabilities 17 jul-19 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 17 jul-19 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 16/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0963 S05W40   057  0240 Eao  13   09 Beta
0964 N03W71   088  0020 Axx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 17 Jul to 19 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 16 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **