[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  20 JULY, 2007

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 201, 07/20/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=0143 4322  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0133 4322  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,068;SESC:068,068,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,006   27DAY-KP=3331 1232 3211 2122
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 20 JUL 07 are: 0+ 1+ 3- 3+   4+ 3o 2o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 JUL 07 are:   2   5  12  18  32  15   7   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 JUL is: 2.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  Region 963 has
       rotated off of the visible disk.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to active conditions.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled for 21 july due to a recurrent coronal
       hole.  There is the possibility of isolated active periods. 
       Conditions are expected to return to quiet for 22 - 23 july.

            Event probabilities 21 jul-23 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 jul-23 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/15/15
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 20/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 21 Jul to 23 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0961 S08    220


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **