[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 25 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Jul 26 22:31:44 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  25 JULY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 25 JULY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 206, 07/25/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=0001 1101  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0001 1110  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A2.3   @ 0223UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.3   @ 0226UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,070;SESC:068,068,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/015,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,013   27DAY-KP=1111 2123 2121 3253
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 24 JUL 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 25 JUL 07 are: 0+ 0o 0o 1-   1o 1- 1o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 25 JUL 07 are:   2   0   0   3   4   3   4   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 25 JUL is: 1.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active for 26 july as a coronal hole
       high speed stream becomes geoeffective.  On 27 july the geomagnetic
       field is expected to be quiet to unsettled before abating to quiet
       on 28 july.

            Event probabilities 26 jul-28 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 26 jul-28 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/10/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/20/15
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 25/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 26 Jul to 28 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 25 JULY, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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