[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 05 June
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jun 6 22:31:39 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
05 JUNE, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 05 JUNE, 2007
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NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 156, 06/05/07
10.7 FLUX=070.9 90-AVG=073 SSN=063 BKI=1000 3111 BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A8.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1000 1101 PAI=003
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=01:005
XRAY-MAX= C7.4 @ 1612UT XRAY-MIN= A8.3 @ 2059UT XRAY-AVG= B2.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=005,003 27DAY-KP=1221 1111 1000 1112
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 04 JUN 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 05 JUN 07 are: 1o 0+ 0+ 0o 1+ 1+ 0+ 1+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 05 JUN 07 are: 4 2 2 0 5 5 2 5
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 05 JUN is: 7.7E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 70.5, 70.9, 70.6 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
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Solar activity was low. Region 960 (S07E24) produced
two C-flares. The largest of which was a C6.6/1f flare at 05/1613
utc. The region continues to be in decay, however it maintains a
beta gamma delta magnetic classification.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 960 is still capable of producing M-flares with
a slight chance for an X-flare.
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet. Based on the potential for significant
flare activity from region 960, there is a slight chance for a
greater than 10 mev proton event.
Event probabilities 06 jun-08 jun
Class M 60/60/50
Class X 15/15/10
Proton 10/10/05
PCAF yellow
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 06 jun-08 jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 05/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0958 S12W26 227 0030 Bxo 03 04 Beta
0960 S07E24 177 0410 Ekc 15 39 Beta-Gamma-Delta
0959 S11W04 205 Plage
Regions Due to Return 06 Jun to 08 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
0956 N03 072
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 05 JUNE, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
0812 0812 0812 110
0920 0927 0939 0960 S10E32 B4.7 Sf 120
1543 1544 1544 260
1726 1731 1733 B3.2 100
** End of Daily Report **
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