[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Jun 8 22:31:56 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  07 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 158, 06/07/07
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=073        SSN=059      BKI=0000 1011  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A7.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 1121  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C4.4   @ 0644UT    XRAY-MIN= A8.0   @ 1341UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,080,080;SESC:085,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,003   27DAY-KP=0000 1111 1100 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 JUN 07 are: 1- 0+ 0o 0o   1- 1o 2o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 JUN 07 are:   3   2   0   0   3   4   7   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 JUN is: 1.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low. Region 960 (S07W03) produced a
       few small C-class events as it continued to slowly decay and
       simplify. Region 959 (S11W31) reemerged during the period, from a
       spotless plage to a simple bipole with nine spots. Region 958
       (S12W54)  was quiet.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected be low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The goes greater than 2 mev electron
       flux attained high levels once again.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet throughout the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 08 jun-10 jun

                             Class M    30/30/30
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     05/05/05
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 jun-10 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0958 S12W54   227  0000 Axx  00   01 Alpha
0959 S11W31   204  0030 Bxi  05   09 Beta
0960 S07W03   176  0270 Esi  14   19 Beta-Gamma
Regions Due to Return 08 Jun to 10 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0956 N03    072


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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