[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Jun 9 22:31:40 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  08 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 159, 06/08/07
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=074        SSN=051      BKI=2321 1111  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A7.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3311 2222  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C3.3   @ 0840UT    XRAY-MIN= A6.8   @ 2359UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.9
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,003   27DAY-KP=1100 0001 1210 1011
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 JUN 07 are: 3- 3- 1+ 1-   2o 2o 2+ 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 JUN 07 are:  12  12   5   3   7   7   9   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 JUN is: 3.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity continued low. Region 960 (S08W17), the
       most prominent of the spotted regions visible, continues to simplify
       and decay. It has produced frequent small C-class activity through
       the interval. The other two spotted regions have been quiet.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be low.
       Region 960 retains the potential for an isolated M-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet.  The goes greater than 2 mev
       electron flux was at high levels once again.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to persist at quiet conditions through the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 09 jun-11 jun

                             Class M    30/30/30
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     05/05/05
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 jun-11 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0958 S12W67   227  0000 Axx  00   01 Alpha
0959 S10W44   204  0010 Bxo  06   05 Beta
0960 S08W17   177  0240 Esc  12   15 Beta
Regions Due to Return 09 Jun to 11 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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