[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 09 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jun 10 22:31:37 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  09 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 09 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 160, 06/09/07
10.7 FLUX=069.9  90-AVG=074        SSN=019      BKI=1233 2222  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A4.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1122 3122  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=01:023
 XRAY-MAX= M1.2   @ 1348UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.7   @ 2137UT   XRAY-AVG= B3.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,003   27DAY-KP=1210 1011 0000 1121
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 08 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 09 JUN 07 are: 1+ 1+ 2+ 2o   3- 1+ 2+ 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 09 JUN 07 are:   5   5   9   7  12   5   9   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 09 JUN is: 4.2E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.9,    69.9,    70.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was moderate.  Region 960 (S06W32)
       produced an M1/2f at 1348Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be low. 
       Region 960 retains the potential for further M-class flares.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled through the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 10 jun-12 jun

                             Class M    20/20/20
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     05/05/05
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 10 jun-12 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 09/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0960 S06W32   179  0150 Dao  10   09 Beta
0958 S12W80   227                    Plage
0959 S10W57   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 10 Jun to 12 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 09 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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