[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Jun 11 22:31:43 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  10 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 161, 06/10/07
10.7 FLUX=069.4  90-AVG=074        SSN=014      BKI=3232 0221  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A2.5     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3232 1121  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C2.2   @ 1111UT    XRAY-MIN= A3.2   @ 1537UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.1
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,006   27DAY-KP=0000 1121 1111 2222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 JUN 07 are: 3o 2+ 3o 2-   1+ 1+ 2o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 JUN 07 are:  15   9  15   6   5   5   7   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 JUN is: 9.4E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.5,    69.4,    69.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 960 (S05W46) has
       continued to decay, but produced a C1/sf at 10/1111Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  Region 960 may produce C-class activity.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled throughout the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 11 jun-13 jun

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 jun-13 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0960 S05W46   180  0130 Dso  08   04 Beta
0958 S12W93   227                    Plage
0959 S10W70   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 11 Jun to 13 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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