[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Jun 12 22:31:42 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  11 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 162, 06/11/07
10.7 FLUX=073.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=013      BKI=2000 1111  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A2.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 0111  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B9.2   @ 0026UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.6   @ 2316UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,010/005,005,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,004   27DAY-KP=1111 2222 1111 1112
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 JUN 07 are: 1+ 0+ 0+ 0o   0+ 1- 1- 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 JUN 07 are:   5   2   2   0   2   3   3   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 JUN is: 1.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 960 (S05W59)
       produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours.  The
       largest of these was a B8/sf at 10/0027Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on 12-13 june.  Expect unsettled to active
       conditions, with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes, on
       14 june as a coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 12 jun-14 jun

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 jun-14 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0960 S05W59   180  0080 Dso  07   03 Beta
0959 S10W83   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 12 Jun to 14 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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