[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 June
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Jun 12 22:31:42 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
11 JUNE, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 JUNE, 2007
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 162, 06/11/07
10.7 FLUX=073.0 90-AVG=074 SSN=013 BKI=2000 1111 BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A2.1 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1000 0111 PAI=002
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B9.2 @ 0026UT XRAY-MIN= A2.6 @ 2316UT XRAY-AVG= A7.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,010/005,005,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=006,004 27DAY-KP=1111 2222 1111 1112
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 JUN 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 11 JUN 07 are: 1+ 0+ 0+ 0o 0+ 1- 1- 1-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 JUN 07 are: 5 2 2 0 2 3 3 3
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 JUN is: 1.1E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. Region 960 (S05W59)
produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours. The
largest of these was a B8/sf at 10/0027Z.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 12-13 june. Expect unsettled to active
conditions, with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes, on
14 june as a coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position.
Event probabilities 12 jun-14 jun
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 jun-14 jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/30
Minor storm 05/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/10
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 11/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0960 S05W59 180 0080 Dso 07 03 Beta
0959 S10W83 204 Plage
Regions Due to Return 12 Jun to 14 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 JUNE, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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