[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  12 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 163, 06/12/07
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=1110 1212  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A1.6     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1110 1112  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B3.6   @ 1930UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.4   @ 2359UT   XRAY-AVG= A3.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,010/005,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,006   27DAY-KP=1111 1112 1211 1123
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 JUN 07 are: 1o 1+ 1o 0+   1- 1- 1+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 JUN 07 are:   4   5   4   2   3   3   5   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 JUN is: 1.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 960 (S05W71)
       continues to decay and is now classified as a magnetic alpha sunspot
       group.   It produced a B3 flare at 12/1931Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.  There remains a chance for an isolated C-class flare from
       region 960.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on 13 june.  Expect quiet to active conditions,
       with isolated minor storm periods possible at high latitudes, on
       14-15 june as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective
       position.

            Event probabilities 13 jun-15 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 jun-15 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/25/25
                        Minor storm           05/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/30/30
                        Minor storm           05/20/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0960 S05W71   179  0080 Hsx  05   02 Alpha
0959 S10W96   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 13 Jun to 15 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **