[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  13 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 164, 06/13/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=2011 1232  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1011 1222  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B4.8   @ 1346UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.8   @ 1257UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,018   27DAY-KP=1211 1123 3244 4333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 13 JUN 07 are: 1+ 0+ 1- 1o   1o 2o 2o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 13 JUN 07 are:   5   2   3   4   4   7   7   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 JUN is: 1.9E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 960 (S05W85)
       produced a B4 flare at 13/1347Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity  is expected to be very
       low.  There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from region 960.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  An apparent solar sector boundary
       crossing occurred at 13/1800Z.  Solar wind speed increased from
       approximately 310 km/s to 420 km/s at forecast issue time.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to active levels on 14-15 june, with
       isolated minor storm periods possible at high latitudes, due to a
       recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Quiet to unsettled
       conditions are expected on 16 june.

            Event probabilities 14 jun-16 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 jun-16 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/25
                        Minor storm           20/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 13/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0960 S05W85   179  0070 Cao  04   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 14 Jun to 16 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **