[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  14 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 165, 06/14/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=3435 3433  BAI=022
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3434 2443  PAI=020
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A8.6   @ 1322UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2146UT   XRAY-AVG= A2.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=018,012   27DAY-KP=3244 4333 2332 2333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 JUN 07 are: 3+ 4- 3- 4+   2+ 4o 4- 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 JUN 07 are:  18  22  12  32   9  27  22  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 JUN is: 3.6E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 960 has rotated
       around the west limb.  The visible solar disk is now spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active.  There was a
       single period of minor storming at mid latitudes as the solar wind
       speed increased to about 550 km/s due to a recurrent coronal hole
       rotating into geoeffective position.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
       periods on 15 june due to the coronal hole high speed stream. 
       Expect quiet to unsettled conditions on 16 - 17 june.

            Event probabilities 15 jun-17 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 jun-17 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/25
                        Minor storm           20/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Jun to 17 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **