[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 16 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jun 17 22:31:38 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  16 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 16 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 167, 06/16/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=3321 2221  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3211 3221  PAI=007
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,010/005,005,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,006   27DAY-KP=3211 1112 3100 1123
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 15 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 16 JUN 07 are: 3- 2+ 1+ 1-   3- 2o 2- 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 16 JUN 07 are:  12   9   5   3  12   7   6   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 16 JUN is: 1.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity continues very low. The visible disk is
       devoid of sunspots.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to persist
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next 48 hours. A recurrent high-speed
       solar wind stream is due 19 june, when unsettled conditions are
       anticipated.

            Event probabilities 17 jun-19 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 17 jun-19 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/25
                        Minor storm           10/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/30
                        Minor storm           15/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 16/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 17 Jun to 19 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 16 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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