[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 16 June
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jun 17 22:31:38 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
16 JUNE, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 16 JUNE, 2007
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 167, 06/16/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0 90-AVG=074 SSN=000 BKI=3321 2221 BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=3211 3221 PAI=007
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,010/005,005,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=006,006 27DAY-KP=3211 1112 3100 1123
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 15 JUN 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 16 JUN 07 are: 3- 2+ 1+ 1- 3- 2o 2- 1o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 16 JUN 07 are: 12 9 5 3 12 7 6 4
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 16 JUN is: 1.6E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity continues very low. The visible disk is
devoid of sunspots.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to persist
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next 48 hours. A recurrent high-speed
solar wind stream is due 19 june, when unsettled conditions are
anticipated.
Event probabilities 17 jun-19 jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 17 jun-19 jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 10/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/30
Minor storm 15/15/20
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 16/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 17 Jun to 19 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 16 JUNE, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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