[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 17 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  17 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 17 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 168, 06/17/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=1122 3211  BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1111 2211  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,068;SESC:068,068,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,015/005,015,020
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,011   27DAY-KP=3100 1123 1212 2343
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 16 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 17 JUN 07 are: 1+ 1o 1+ 1o   2+ 2+ 1+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 17 JUN 07 are:   5   4   5   4   9   9   5   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 17 JUN is: 2.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 18 june.  Conditions will range
       from unsettled to minor storm levels on 19-20 june as a recurrent
       coronal hole becomes geoeffective.  There is a chance for isolated
       major storm periods at high latitudes on 20 june due to the coronal
       hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 18 jun-20 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 18 jun-20 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/25/30
                        Minor storm           10/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/30/35
                        Minor storm           15/20/25
                        Major-severe storm    05/10/15


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 17/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 18 Jun to 20 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 17 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **