[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 21 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  21 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 21 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 172, 06/21/07
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=1223 3234  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1233 3334  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,070;SESC:068,068,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,007/015,010,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=016,016   27DAY-KP=2443 3342 4433 3332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 20 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 21 JUN 07 are: 1- 2o 3o 3-   3o 3- 3- 4+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 21 JUN 07 are:   3   7  15  12  15  12  12  32 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 21 JUN is: 2.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk is
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled due to recurrent
       coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
       position.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to active for the forecast period, 22 - 24
       june.

            Event probabilities 22 jun-24 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 22 jun-24 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/30
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                45/45/35
                        Minor storm           20/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 21/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 22 Jun to 24 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0958 S12    227


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 21 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **