[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  27 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 178, 06/27/07
10.7 FLUX=073.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=015      BKI=2221 2211  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2220 1122  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C1.4   @ 1759UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0219UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,006,008/005,008,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,006   27DAY-KP=1000 1113 2211 1222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 JUN 07 are: 2o 2o 2o 0+   1o 1o 2- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 JUN 07 are:   7   7   7   2   4   4   6   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 JUN is: 2.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  A C1 flare occurred at
       27/1800Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled.  Isolated active periods are
       possible on 30 june due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
       stream.

            Event probabilities 28 jun-30 jun

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 jun-30 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/25/35
                        Minor storm           05/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S11E50   220  0180 Cko  07   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 28 Jun to 30 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0960 S05    180


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **