[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Jun 30 22:31:39 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  29 JUNE, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 JUNE, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 180, 06/29/07
10.7 FLUX=075.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=029      BKI=1122 3332  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2121 3253  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C1.3   @ 2013UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2222UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,006,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,010   27DAY-KP=2221 1212 2211 1343
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 JUN 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 JUN 07 are: 2- 1+ 2- 1o   3- 2+ 5o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 JUN 07 are:   6   5   6   4  12   9  48  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 JUN is: 5.4E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 962 (S10E55) produced a
       C1 flare at 29/2013Z.  Region 961 (S13E23) remains relatively
       unchanged since yesterday.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  There is a chance for C-class activity from either
       region 961 or 962.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind
       speed increased to approximately 500 km/s as a recurrent coronal
       hole rotated into a geoeffective position.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (30 june -
       02 july).  Isolated active periods are possible on 30 june and 01
       july due to the coronal hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 30 jun-02 jul

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 30 jun-02 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/30/20
                        Minor storm           20/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 29/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0961 S13E23   220  0130 Cso  04   06 Beta
0962 S10E55   188  0020 Bxo  07   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 30 Jun to 02 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 JUNE, 2007
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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