[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 June
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Jun 30 22:31:39 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
29 JUNE, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 JUNE, 2007
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 180, 06/29/07
10.7 FLUX=075.0 90-AVG=074 SSN=029 BKI=1122 3332 BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2121 3253 PAI=013
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= C1.3 @ 2013UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 2222UT XRAY-AVG= A7.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,006,005/010,008,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=007,010 27DAY-KP=2221 1212 2211 1343
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 JUN 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 29 JUN 07 are: 2- 1+ 2- 1o 3- 2+ 5o 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 JUN 07 are: 6 5 6 4 12 9 48 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 JUN is: 5.4E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
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Solar activity was low. Region 962 (S10E55) produced a
C1 flare at 29/2013Z. Region 961 (S13E23) remains relatively
unchanged since yesterday.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for C-class activity from either
region 961 or 962.
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled. Solar wind
speed increased to approximately 500 km/s as a recurrent coronal
hole rotated into a geoeffective position.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (30 june -
02 july). Isolated active periods are possible on 30 june and 01
july due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
Event probabilities 30 jun-02 jul
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 30 jun-02 jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/15
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/30/20
Minor storm 20/15/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 29/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0961 S13E23 220 0130 Cso 04 06 Beta
0962 S10E55 188 0020 Bxo 07 02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 30 Jun to 02 Jul
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 JUNE, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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