[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  01 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 121, 05/01/07
10.7 FLUX=086.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=032      BKI=2341 1212  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A3.8     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3331 1222  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.8   @ 2231UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.5   @ 2358UT   XRAY-AVG= A5.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,080;SESC:085,085,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,004   27DAY-KP=3322 1112 1121 1102
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 APR 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 01 APR 07 are: 3- 3o 3o 1-   1+ 2- 2- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 APR 07 are:  12  15  15   3   5   6   6   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 MAY is: 4.0E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Only low level B-class
       flares were observed. Region 953 (S12W04) has decreased in area to
       around 440 millionths and has weakened to a beta-gamma magnetic
       class.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low with a slight chance for an M-flare from region 953.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. An isolated active
       period was observed at the boulder magnetometer between 01/0600 -
       0900 utc. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for the forecast period (02 - 04 may).

            Event probabilities 02 may-04 may

                             Class M    10/10/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 may-04 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 01/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0953 S12W04   308  0440 Cko  07   08 Beta-Gamma
0954 S06E16   288  0040 Bxo  03   04 Beta
Regions Due to Return 02 May to 04 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0952 S08    202


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **