[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  02 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 122, 05/02/07
10.7 FLUX=087.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=033      BKI=1100 1002  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A2.9     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0101  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=01:016
 XRAY-MAX= C9.7   @ 2344UT    XRAY-MIN= A3.7   @ 0040UT   XRAY-AVG= B2.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,004   27DAY-KP=1121 1102 1211 0111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 02 MAY 07 are: 1+ 1- 0+ 0o   0+ 1+ 0+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 MAY 07 are:   5   3   2   0   2   5   2   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 MAY is: 4.9E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 953 (S10W17)
       produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours.  The
       largest was a B8 at 02/1602Z.  This region is currently classified
       as a beta magnetic spot group.  Region 954 (S06E01) also produced a
       few low level B-class flares.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days.

            Event probabilities 03 may-05 may

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 may-05 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 02/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0953 S10W17   308  0420 Cko  07   10 Beta
0954 S06E01   290  0030 Bxo  03   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 03 May to 05 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **