[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  07 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 127, 05/07/07
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=2233 3533  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A2.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1132 3544  PAI=018
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.4   @ 1143UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.4   @ 1609UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,070,070;SESC:075,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,006,004/012,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,004   27DAY-KP=2001 2323 2210 0101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 MAY 07 are: 1+ 1o 3o 2+   3o 5+ 4- 4- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 MAY 07 are:   5   4  15   9  15  56  22  22 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 MAY is: 1.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled with one period
       of minor storming.  Real-time solar wind data are consistent with
       the onset of a high speed solar wind stream.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 08 may.  Isolated active
       periods are possible due to a geoeffective recurrent coronal hole
       high speed stream.  The geomagnetic field is expected to be
       predominately quiet 09 - 10 may.

            Event probabilities 08 may-10 may

                             Class M    05/05/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 may-10 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/15
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/25
                        Minor storm           25/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0953 S11W82   305  0190 Hkx  03   02 Alpha
0954 S07W64   290                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 May to 10 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **