[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 May
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed May 9 22:31:40 GMT 2007
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
08 MAY, 2007
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 128, 05/08/07
10.7 FLUX=071.1 90-AVG=074 SSN=012 BKI=2543 3322 BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A2.3 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2442 2233 PAI=014
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B2.8 @ 2315UT XRAY-MIN= A2.3 @ 0047UT XRAY-AVG= A5.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,004,004/008,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=004,008 27DAY-KP=2210 0101 2213 3221
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 MAY 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 08 MAY 07 are: 2+ 4+ 4- 2- 2+ 2o 3- 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 MAY 07 are: 9 32 22 6 9 7 12 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 MAY is: 5.9E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 71.0, 71.1, 70.9 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity has been very low. Region 953 has
rotated off the visible disk.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
The geomagnetic field has ranged from quiet to active.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 09 may. Isolated active
periods remain possible due to a geoeffective, recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream. The geomagnetic field is expected to be
predominately quiet on 10 - 11 may.
Event probabilities 09 may-11 may
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 may-11 may
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/15
Minor storm 15/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/25/25
Minor storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0953 S11W98 308 0090 Axx 03 02 Alpha
0954 S07W77 290 Plage
Regions Due to Return 09 May to 11 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
More information about the Finalsolar
mailing list