[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 May

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed May 9 22:31:40 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  08 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 128, 05/08/07
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=2543 3322  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A2.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2442 2233  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B2.8   @ 2315UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.3   @ 0047UT   XRAY-AVG= A5.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,004,004/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,008   27DAY-KP=2210 0101 2213 3221
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 MAY 07 are: 2+ 4+ 4- 2-   2+ 2o 3- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 MAY 07 are:   9  32  22   6   9   7  12  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 MAY is: 5.9E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  Region 953 has
       rotated off the visible disk.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.

            The geomagnetic field has ranged from quiet to active.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 09 may.  Isolated active
       periods remain possible due to a geoeffective, recurrent coronal
       hole high speed stream.  The geomagnetic field is expected to be
       predominately quiet on 10 - 11 may.

            Event probabilities 09 may-11 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 may-11 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/15
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/25
                        Minor storm           25/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0953 S11W98   308  0090 Axx  03   02 Alpha
0954 S07W77   290                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 09 May to 11 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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