[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 09 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  09 MAY, 2007

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 09 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 129, 05/09/07
10.7 FLUX=069.9  90-AVG=074        SSN=018      BKI=2232 2122  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1221 1111  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B8.8   @ 0156UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2231UT   XRAY-AVG= A6.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=004,004,004/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,002   27DAY-KP=2213 3221 1010 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 08 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 09 MAY 07 are: 1+ 2- 2- 1+   1o 1+ 1+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 09 MAY 07 are:   5   6   6   5   4   5   5   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 09 MAY is: 1.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.9,    69.9,    70.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  Region 955 (S10E22)
       was designated today.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low with a slight chance for an M-flare from region 955.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominately quiet 10 - 12 may.

            Event probabilities 10 may-12 may

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 10 may-12 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 09/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0955 S10E22   175  0250 Dao  05   08 Beta
Regions Due to Return 10 May to 12 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 09 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0734 0734 0734                       120                           


**  End of Daily Report  **