[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  11 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 131, 05/11/07
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=024      BKI=1011 2111  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1111  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.8   @ 2122UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2248UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,008,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,004   27DAY-KP=0100 1213 2211 1100
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 MAY 07 are: 0+ 0o 0o 0+   1- 1- 1- 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 MAY 07 are:   2   0   0   2   3   3   3   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 MAY is: 1.5E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low. C-class flares are possible in region 955 (S09W06).

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet.

            Event probabilities 12 may-14 may

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 may-14 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0955 S09W06   176  0150 Dao  08   14 Beta
Regions Due to Return 12 May to 14 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **