[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  18 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 138, 05/18/07
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=045      BKI=2244 3332  BAI=015
BGND-XRAY=A1.9     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3244 4333  PAI=018
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.0   @ 0549UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.4   @ 2251UT   XRAY-AVG= A3.9
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/020,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,010   27DAY-KP=1100 0111 2222 2333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 17 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 18 MAY 07 are: 3- 2+ 4o 4o   4- 3+ 3o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 18 MAY 07 are:  12   9  27  27  22  18  15  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 18 MAY is: 9.6E+05
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 956 (N03E07)
       continues to display a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration, but
       has not produced any flares during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active.  Solar wind speed
       increased to approximately 600 km/s during the past 12 hours,
       indicating the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
       periods on 19 may due to the coronal hole high speed stream.  Expect
       quiet to unsettled conditions on 20 - 21 may.

            Event probabilities 19 may-21 may

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 may-21 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                45/25/15
                        Minor storm           25/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    15/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 18/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0956 N03E07   071  0280 Dko  06   22 Beta-Gamma-Delta
0957 S05W60   138  0030 Cro  05   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 19 May to 21 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0953 S11    308


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **