[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 May

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  20 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 140, 05/20/07
10.7 FLUX=074.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=023      BKI=3212 1122  BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A1.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3211 1112  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B7.6   @ 0556UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.6   @ 0358UT   XRAY-AVG= A6.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/012,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=018,004   27DAY-KP=4541 1211 2110 1222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 20 MAY 07 are: 3o 2o 1o 1o   1o 1o 1+ 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 MAY 07 are:  15   7   4   4   4   4   5   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 MAY is: 1.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 956 (N04W18)
       produced a long-duration B6 flare at 20/0556Z, but no evidence of an
       associated cme has been observed.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed
       remains slightly elevated at approximately 540 km/s due to a coronal
       hole high speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (21 - 23
       may).

            Event probabilities 21 may-23 may

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 may-23 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 20/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0956 N04W18   070  0190 Dai  05   13 Beta
0957 S05W87   139                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 21 May to 23 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0953 S10    307


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0452 0556 0620  0956        B6.7     130                           
 0554 0554 0554                       110                           
 0615 0615 0615                       140                           


**  End of Daily Report  **