[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 25 May

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat May 26 22:31:37 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  25 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 25 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 145, 05/25/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=2443 3332  BAI=016
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2443 3342  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.0   @ 0756UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0528UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=016,012,006/025,020,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=026,023   27DAY-KP=5544 3443 5554 2223
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 24 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 25 MAY 07 are: 2o 4- 4- 3o   3- 3- 4o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 25 MAY 07 are:   7  22  22  15  12  12  27   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 25 MAY is: 4.9E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active.  Activity is due
       to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  The greater than 2
       mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active on 26 may and quiet to unsettled
       27 - 28 may.

            Event probabilities 26 may-28 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 26 may-28 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/30/20
                        Minor storm           25/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/30/25
                        Minor storm           30/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    15/15/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 25/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 26 May to 28 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 25 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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