[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 May

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon May 28 22:31:39 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  27 MAY, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 MAY, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 147, 05/27/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=3344 2222  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3333 2222  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A6.6   @ 2052UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2121UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=006,003,003/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=020,008   27DAY-KP=5542 3221 3331 1222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 MAY 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 MAY 07 are: 3- 3+ 3+ 3+   2- 2+ 2o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 MAY 07 are:  12  18  18  18   6   9   7   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 MAY is: 8.6E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.  The greater than
       2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
       again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled may 28.  There remains the
       possibility of isolated active periods.  The geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet may 29 - 30.

            Event probabilities 28 may-30 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 may-30 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 28 May to 30 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 MAY, 2007
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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